Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
78% of phosphate consumption in Brazil depends on imports, which exposes the country to external restrictions (Canuto, 2026).
Brazil could face a phosphate deficit of between 1 and 3 million tons if supply restrictions persist (Canuto, 2026).
20% of the total demand for phosphates in Brazil could be affected by the projected deficit (Canuto, 2026).
15% of Brazil's fertilizer imports come from the war-affected region (Canuto, 2026).
0.6% of Brazil's GDP corresponds to exports to Middle Eastern countries impacted by the conflict (Canuto, 2026).
Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).
25% of Brazil's corn exports are destined for the Middle East, increasing sectoral vulnerability (Canuto, 2026).
74.67% was the increase in the price of urea, rising from 415.4 to 725.6 dollars per ton between the start of 2026 and March 31.
Gulf countries account for 13% of global nitrogen exports and 9% of phosphate nutrients; the Hormuz closure disrupts this critical chain for producing fertilizers such as urea and ammonia (UNCTAD, 2026).
Fertilizer applications in some crops could decrease by up to 25% due to rising prices (Mundoagro, 2026).
