Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
In the Niño 3.4 region (central equatorial Pacific), El Niño would develop from June 2026 to March 2027. For the summer of 2026-2027, the event is estimated to reach a magnitude between strong (44%) and moderate (36%). (Multisectoral Commission in Charge of the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon, 2026).
30-40% is AccuWeather’s estimated probability that the event could evolve into a rare “Super El Niño”, with conditions potentially lasting through 2026 and even into 2027.
11 to 16 named storms are projected by AccuWeather for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season; with El Niño arriving early, the forecast is leaning closer to 11 than to 16.
More than 0.5 °C was the weekly average sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial Pacific, the main threshold used to identify El Niño conditions.
63% is the projected probability of a very intense El Niño-type condition occurring during the November-January period.
Up to 35% of seasonal precipitation recorded in Chile is explained by ENSO, according to the post.
37 articles make up the Law for the Promotion and Development of Coffee approved by Venezuela’s National Assembly to boost the production cycle from planting to export.
It decreased by 0.2% compared to the revised level of April 2026. It averaged 130.8 points in May 2026. (FAO, 2026).
It increased by 6.6% compared to the level in April 2026. It averaged 95.1 points in May 2026. (FAO, 2026). The increase is due to a possible shortage of supplies in the coming months (a possible lower sugar production in Brazil and possible effects of El Niño on sugar production in India and Thailand in 2026/27).
It increased by 2.6% compared to the level of April 2026. It averaged 114.3 points in May 2026. The increase reflected lower expected harvests in major exporters, and higher fuel and fertilizer costs. (FAO, 2026).
