Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
The price of Brent crude rose by 27%, reaching approximately $91.80 per barrel, while the price of European natural gas (TTF) rose by 74%, reaching nearly €55.80 per MWh.
Freight rates for oil tankers rose (BDTI +54% and BCTI +72%), while marine fuel prices increased by up to +99% for low-sulfur fuel and +100% for high-sulfur fuel, driving up transportation costs in global supply chains.
33% of global maritime fertilizer trade (16 Mt) passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and in some countries, up to 54% of imports come from the Persian Gulf. During the last energy crisis, the natural gas index exceeded 1,000, while nitrogen fertilizers exceeded 700 (urea) and 900 (DAP).
Rising borrowing costs are increasing the potential economic burden of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Following the military escalation, sovereign bond yields rose by between 0.24 and 0.64 percentage points, reaching as high as 7.1%.
Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell more than 95% (from over 100 vessels per day to fewer than 10), disrupting flows of oil, LNG and fertilizers essential for global agricultural production (UNCTAD, 2026).
Weak La Niña conditions are likely with 60% probability that neutral conditions will prevail during the March–May 2026 season. (Guyana Hydrometeorological Survey, 2026).
Between 3.0 and 3.49 million people are expected to face Crisis, IPC Phase 3, or Emergency, IPC Phase 4, outcomes in Haiti between June 2026 and January 2027. The number of people in need is expected to peak in November before the winter harvests due to persistent violence, population displacement, high food prices and below-average incomes.
351 initiatives (51.1%) receive financial support from subnational public sources in the dataset of 687 Productive Articulation Initiatives (PAI) across 18 countries (2023–2025) (ECLAC, 2025).
In the sectoral mapping of PAIs, agriculture, forestry, hunting and fishing accounts for 248 PAIs (34.8%), followed by manufacturing (188), tourism (70) and ICT (51); additionally, 32 PAIs in health are identified, according to the report (ECLAC, 2025).
23 countries in LAC recorded positive year-on-year productivity changes in 2024, according to the report’s analysis (ECLAC, 2025).
