Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
4 Latin American countries, Colombia, Peru, Brazil and Argentina, have the greatest exposure to an intense El Niño event in 2026, according to a Bank of America report.
4 Central American countries, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua, contain extensive areas of the Dry Corridor exposed to prolonged droughts and extreme rainfall associated with El Niño.
4 weeks without rainfall were enough to destroy staple crop plantings in agricultural communities in Guatemala and El Salvador, worsening food insecurity risks.
More than 50 consecutive days of record-high ocean surface temperatures increased the risk of altered rainfall, droughts, floods and heatwaves affecting agricultural production.
10.5 million people live in the Central American Dry Corridor and depend mainly on subsistence maize and bean farming, which is highly vulnerable to El Niño.
Between 25% and 30% of global wheat exports are concentrated in Russia and Ukraine, meaning disruptions in the Black Sea immediately affect international supply and prices.
1.5 million tonnes would be the volume of Russian wheat exports in July 2026, approximately one-third below the previous year and the lowest July volume since 2017.
266 million people in 47 countries and territories faced high levels of acute food insecurity in 2025, equivalent to 22.9% of the analyzed population.
87.5 million people were affected in contexts where extreme weather events predominated as the main driver of acute food insecurity.
147.4 million people were affected in contexts where conflict and insecurity were the main driver of acute food insecurity.