Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
More than 0.5 °C was the weekly average sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial Pacific, the main threshold used to identify El Niño conditions.
11 to 16 named storms are projected by AccuWeather for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season; with El Niño arriving early, the forecast is leaning closer to 11 than to 16.
30-40% is AccuWeather’s estimated probability that the event could evolve into a rare “Super El Niño”, with conditions potentially lasting through 2026 and even into 2027.
63% is the projected probability of a very intense El Niño-type condition occurring during the November-January period.
Up to 35% of seasonal precipitation recorded in Chile is explained by ENSO, according to the post.
21% of the world's inland wetlands has been lost since 1700, representing approximately 3.4 million km².
3 billion additional people could be exposed to water stress by 2050 when water quality is incorporated into water scarcity assessments.
USD 1.1 billion in estimated economic losses were recorded for California's agricultural sector during the 2021 drought.
21% is the average reduction in wheat yields caused by mild drought conditions; rice yields decrease by 17% on average.
More than 60% of irrigated cropland experiences high water stress, while 11% of rainfed cropland and 14% of pastureland are affected by frequent droughts.
