Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
The price of Brent crude rose by 27%, reaching approximately $91.80 per barrel, while the price of European natural gas (TTF) rose by 74%, reaching nearly €55.80 per MWh.
Freight rates for oil tankers rose (BDTI +54% and BCTI +72%), while marine fuel prices increased by up to +99% for low-sulfur fuel and +100% for high-sulfur fuel, driving up transportation costs in global supply chains.
33% of global maritime fertilizer trade (16 Mt) passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and in some countries, up to 54% of imports come from the Persian Gulf. During the last energy crisis, the natural gas index exceeded 1,000, while nitrogen fertilizers exceeded 700 (urea) and 900 (DAP).
Rising borrowing costs are increasing the potential economic burden of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Following the military escalation, sovereign bond yields rose by between 0.24 and 0.64 percentage points, reaching as high as 7.1%.
Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell more than 95% (from over 100 vessels per day to fewer than 10), disrupting flows of oil, LNG and fertilizers essential for global agricultural production (UNCTAD, 2026).
6% of global land use change is attributed individually to countries such as Russia, India, China, and the United States (Kan et al., 2026).
The conversion of grasslands and wetlands to agriculture is progressing almost 4 times faster than deforestation worldwide (Kan et al., 2026).
13% of the global conversion of natural ecosystems is concentrated in Brazil, the country with the highest recorded proportion (Kan et al., 2026).
Between 20% and 35% of the world's terrestrial carbon is stored in grasslands, ecosystems currently under increasing agricultural pressure (Kan et al., 2026).
33% of global biodiversity hotspots are located in grassland regions threatened by agricultural expansion (Kan et al., 2026).
