Strong El Niño: 62% likely June–Aug,

06/04/2026

+1.5°C anomaly in the Niño-3.4 region is NOAA's CPC threshold for a "strong" El Niño event, with a 62% probability of occurrence in June–August 2026 (Noll, 2026).

(Noll, 2026)

Noll, B. (2026, abril 6). Super El Niño chances increasing risks. The Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2026/04/06/super-el-nino-chances-increasing-risks/

Go to Evidence

Strong El Niño: 62% likely June–Aug,

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