Global Agrifood Implications of the 2026 Conflict in the Middle East

The document analyzes the implications of the conflict that began in 2026 in the Middle East for global agrifood systems, highlighting the interconnections between energy, fertilizers, and food security. Rising tensions in the region have generated disruptions in international energy markets and in the trade of agricultural inputs, leading to increased production costs and mounting pressure on food supply chains. The report examines how these dynamics may affect fertilizer use, agricultural yields, and the evolution of food prices, with particularly significant impacts on countries dependent on imports of energy and agricultural inputs. It also presents possible scenarios and policy options aimed at mitigating risks and strengthening the resilience of agrifood systems in the face of geopolitical shocks.