New hypotheses on global food security based on the conflict between the Russian Federation and Ukraine

There is no certainty regarding the intensity and duration of the conflict. The likely disruptions to the agricultural activities of these two major exporters of basic food commodities could seriously aggravate food insecurity around the world, at a time when international food and input prices are already high and volatile. The conflict could also limit agricultural production and purchasing power in Ukraine, leading to increased local food insecurity.