Food Security in Argentina in the Event of an Abrupt Reduction of Sunlight Scenario (ERALS)

Abrupt Reduction of Solar Radiation Scenarios (ERALS) result from events that release particulate matter into the upper atmosphere, reducing the amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface. This reduction in solar radiation can lead to a global decrease in temperatures and precipitation, with devastating consequences for agriculture. Possible causes of an ERALS include massive volcanic eruptions, nuclear war, and asteroid impacts. It is estimated that an event of this magnitude could lead to the starvation of 75% of the world's population in the following two years. Argentina is identified as a nation with favorable conditions to face an ERALS, given its location and agricultural capacity. It is recommended that the Argentine government actively participate in the development of contingency plans and the creation of an interdepartmental working group to address this threat. The report proposes 8 main recommendations divided into communication and food supply, as well as food production and redirection. These include formulating response plans for water supply, establishing strategies for food rationing, maintaining open trade to stimulate food production and access, and redirecting animal feed to human consumption, among other measures. It is concluded that the relevant institutions in Argentina to develop a response plan to an ERALS are the Secretariat of Federal Articulation of Security, the Secretariat of Military Coordination in Emergencies, the Secretariat of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, the National Institute of Agricultural Technology, the Agricultural Risk Office, and the Agricultural Emergency Monitoring Office, with the collaboration of other relevant government agencies. The formation of an interdepartmental working group to improve food security planning in the face of an ERALS is recommended.