Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
The IMN forecasts below-normal rainfall across Costa Rica from October 12 to November 8, 2026; from October 26 the deficit intensifies in the Central Pacific, North Pacific, and Central Valley (North Pacific: 1 to 70 mm per week).
1.69 was the Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) anomaly value for the July-August-September (JAS) rolling season of 2026.
154 incident reports were logged and verified in Saint Vincent between October 6 and 8, 2026: 74 involving flooding, 37 involving landslides or rockfalls, and 18 involving retaining-wall failures.
92% of water service was restored within 48 hours after the tropical wave; 60,000 imperial gallons of water were also distributed, and the estimated repair cost reached EC$100,000.
66.42% of the area of the United States and Puerto Rico was abnormally dry or in some category of drought (D0-D4), based on data valid as of September 29, 2026.
1.33% of the area of the United States and Puerto Rico was in exceptional drought (D4), the highest-intensity category of the U.S. Drought Monitor, based on data valid as of September 29, 2026.
49.78% of the area of the United States and Puerto Rico was in moderate drought or a more intense drought category (D1-D4), based on data valid as of September 29, 2026.
13,303 people were affected by 131 rainfall-related events recorded in coastal Ecuador through September 30, 2026.
>95% is the probability that El Niño will reach very strong intensity during the October-November-December 2026 quarter.
4.0 was the SSTA anomaly in the Niño 3 region for the week centered on September 30, 2026; the SST value was 29.0.
