Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
146% was the increase in fire activity from July to August 2026, followed by another 66% rise in September; 395 municipalities are under high alert and 533 under alert for fire risk.
4 key crops maintained favorable global conditions; maize faced alerts in 4 regions, while rice was affected in 2 Asian subregions.
13% was the increase in the Bloomberg Agriculture Spot Index in the July-September 2026 quarter, its largest quarterly gain since March 2022; the source links the rise to Black Sea tensions and extreme weather and notes a strengthening El Nino threatening agricultural production.
From September 24 to October 8, 2026, average maximum temperatures above the 80th percentile and 30°C were forecast across 13 agricultural areas in the Americas, Africa and Asia.
As of September 28, 2026, droughts, cyclones, heavy rainfall and flooding affected rice crops and yields in Vietnam, Thailand, the Philippines, Myanmar and Cambodia.
Between 2 and 7 years is the usual recurrence interval of El Niño, a phenomenon that warms surface waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.
Since 1950, no El Niño episode may have been as intense as the one forecast for 2026, according to the experts cited by the source.
25.8 million children in Latin America and the Caribbean face the consequences of El Niño, including floods, droughts, risk of malnutrition, exposure to disease and limited access to basic services.
4.0 was the SSTA anomaly in the Niño 3 region for the week centered on September 30, 2026; the SST value was 29.0.
3.2 was the SSTA anomaly in the Niño 3.4 region for the week centered on September 30, 2026; the SST value was 29.9.
