Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
Urea prices in Brazil increased by 35% during the first weeks of March due to the conflict (Canuto, 2026).
78% of phosphate consumption in Brazil depends on imports, which exposes the country to external restrictions (Canuto, 2026).
Brazil could face a phosphate deficit of between 1 and 3 million tons if supply restrictions persist (Canuto, 2026).
20% of the total demand for phosphates in Brazil could be affected by the projected deficit (Canuto, 2026).
0.6% of Brazil's GDP corresponds to exports to Middle Eastern countries impacted by the conflict (Canuto, 2026).
Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).
25% of Brazil's corn exports are destined for the Middle East, increasing sectoral vulnerability (Canuto, 2026).
The rate reached 14.75% after a 25 basis point cut in response to inflationary pressures in Brazil (Canuto, 2026).
The study maps 1,793 of 1,874 Peruvian districts (95.7%), with moderate-to-high risk zones covering over one-third of the national territory, indicating ENSO events amplify pesticide dispersal. (Honles,J. et al, 2026)
ENSO conditions are expected to remain neutral in Guyana, with a 55% probability of persistence through the season. (Hydrometeorigical Service of Guyana, 2026).
