Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
Argentina currently has 30–60 days of fertilizer coverage, allowing the wheat campaign to begin without immediate problems (La Nación, 2026).
The cost of sending a container to the Middle East reached $7,500, after tripling due to the conflict (Infobae, 2026).
The price of fertilizers increased by up to a third in one month due to the conflict (Infobae, 2026).
Brazil's soybean production was revised down to 179 million tonnes (from 180M) due to excessive rainfall in northern and central producing states; Brazil's competitive discount makes it unlikely China will purchase an additional 8 million tonnes of soybeans from the US (Darragh & Bhanu, Kpler, 2026).
Since February 28, 2026, only 5 fertilizer vessels have exited the Persian Gulf; the Gulf accounts for ~25% of global nitrogen fertilizer exports, generating a buildup of inventory with no clear exit, pushing global prices upward (Darragh & Bhanu, Kpler, 2026).
Brazil will allocate $2.9 billion to a new plan to reduce the impact of rising fertilizer prices on agriculture (Agrolatam, 2026).
Fertilizer-related outbound shipments through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to their lowest level since January 2026 following Iran's announcement of the strait's closure on 2 March 2026.
44.8% of global fertilizer production is concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region (Earth Platform, 2026).
European ammonia production is 19% below 2019 levels (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).
60% of global fertilizer production is concentrated in five countries (China, USA, Russia, India and Canada) (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).
