Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
Between 3 and 8 named storms were forecast for the Caribbean from September to November 2026; 2 to 5 could develop into hurricanes and 1 or 2 into major hurricanes.
415.8 mm was the average accumulated precipitation in French Guiana from June through August 2026, the lowest total for that period since 1967 and equivalent to a 36% deficit, calculated using 13 reference stations.
67% was the precipitation deficit recorded in French Guiana during August 2026, following deficits of 49% in July and 17% in June.
0.90 metres was the observed level of the Paraguay River at the Asuncion station on 31 August 2026.
2.65 metres was the observed level of the Paraguay River at the Pilar station on 31 August 2026.
3.75 metres was the observed level of the Paraguay River at the Bahia Negra station on 31 August 2026.
58% or higher is the probability that El Niño will reach very strong magnitude in the Niño 3.4 region between September 2026 and January 2027.
From August 31 to September 27, 2026, Météo-France forecasts rainfall totals clearly below normal across the Leeward Islands of the Lesser Antilles. From September 7 to 27, the rainfall deficit is expected to range from slight to moderate.
62% or higher is the probability that Coastal El Niño will reach extraordinary magnitude in the Niño 1+2 region between September 2026 and January 2027.
September 7-13, 2026, is forecast to be the driest of the three weeks from September 7 to 27 and the warmest of the four-week outlook period, particularly in Saint-Martin and Saint-Barthélemy.
