Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
The World Bank Group’s fertilizer index is projected to increase by 31% (y/y) in 2026. (Banco Mundial, 2026).
Natural gas prices, the main input for fertilizers, increased by up to 50%, driving up the cost of the sector (Agrolatam, 2026).
Prices for nitrogen fertilizers in the US market have risen by more than 30% in recent weeks (Agrolatam, 2026).
The price of urea in the United States increased by 34% before the planting season (Agrolatam, 2026).
More than 80% of the fertilizers used in Latin America are imported, which increases regional vulnerability to external shocks (Mundoagro, 2026).
24 vessels per day transited the Panama Canal during the 2023–24 El Niño drought, down from the usual 36, with draft restrictions set at 44 feet (Noll, 2026).
The rate reached 14.75% after a 25 basis point cut in response to inflationary pressures in Brazil (Canuto, 2026).
Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).
25% of Brazil's corn exports are destined for the Middle East, increasing sectoral vulnerability (Canuto, 2026).
15% of Brazil's fertilizer imports come from the war-affected region (Canuto, 2026).
