Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
82% probability of El Niño emergence between May and July 2026, with an upward trajectory towards a strong event. (World Food Programme, 2026).
1997 was the last time Argentina observed an extreme version of El Niño, associated with intense rainfall, floods, and damage in urban and agricultural areas.
More than 20% is NOAA’s estimated probability of an extreme version of El Niño occurring, although experts warn that uncertainty remains.
-0.5 percentage points is the estimated reduction in Chile's GDP growth associated with El Niño, with large declines in industry and fisheries. Inflation increases by around 0.1 percentage points between 4 and 12 months after the event, with greater sensitivity in fruit and vegetables.
55% of rural employment corresponds to agriculture in ALC (CAF, 2025).
The agricultural sector contributed 7% of the regional GDP in 2023 (CAF, 2025).
59.4% informality was recorded in the region in 2010 (OECD, 2024).
3 out of 10 young women found employment in 2022 (OECD, 2024).
83.7%, 79.6%, 74.4%, 68.5% and 67.9% were the highest rates of informality in Bolivia, Guatemala, Peru, Ecuador and Paraguay (OECD, 2024).
27.4% and 22.1% were the rates of informality in Chile and Uruguay in 2022 (OECD, 2024).
