Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
4 productive sectors, agriculture, livestock, aquaculture and fisheries, have differentiated preventive measures under Ecuador's Contingency Plan for the possible occurrence of El Niño.
Between 4.0 and 4.99 million people are expected to need humanitarian food assistance in Colombia during the projection period through January 2027 as the negative impacts of El Niño increasingly affect livelihoods. La Guajira and Chocó are expected to remain in Crisis, IPC Phase 3, due to weather shocks, localized insecurity, reduced production and income, and prices rising above general inflat...
Between 2.0 and 2.49 million people will need food assistance in Guatemala from June to September 2026, reaching the upper end of the range between July and August as food stocks decline, income sources decrease and dependence on food purchases intensifies. From October 2026 to January 2027, the population in need is expected to decline to between 1.5 and 1.99 million.
70% is the potential decline in northern anchovy catch during an El Niño year, according to the estimate cited by Sonapesca.
25% of cherry production was lost during the 2023-24 El Niño, especially in early varieties, according to the source.
63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.
200 millimeters of rain in a single day may occur during localized extreme events associated with El Niño in Paraguay, creating problems for production.
Region 3-4 of the Pacific Ocean is where Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock states El Niño has already settled, with direct impact expected on Paraguay.
September onward is the period when Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock expects El Niño could have a significant impact, coinciding with the start of the rainy season.
In 2023, the average per capita availability of aquatic foods (blue foods) in Latin America was 10.1 kg. (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2026).
