Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
Fertilizer exports from the Persian Gulf were 0 (zero) during the last two weeks of June, continuing the trend of being virtually nonexistent, even after the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding regarding the conflict in the region. (World Trade Organization, 2026)
One third of global urea exports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, a key corridor for global fertilizer trade.
EUR 5.6 billion is the approximate size of Spain’s agricultural inputs market at farm-gate prices, especially exposed to volatility from the closure of Hormuz.
45% of sulfur, an essential raw material for phosphate fertilizers, passes through the Strait of Hormuz.
25% of cherry production was lost during the 2023-24 El Niño, especially in early varieties, according to the source.
30% was the decline in global fertilizer trade by volume during the first four months of 2026 due to the war in the Middle East, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and export restrictions.
20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.
70% is the potential decline in northern anchovy catch during an El Niño year, according to the estimate cited by Sonapesca.
63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.
September onward is the period when Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock expects El Niño could have a significant impact, coinciding with the start of the rainy season.
