Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
82% is the probability that El Niño will develop by July 2026, according to a forecast cited by Reuters.
Nearly 30% was the year-on-year increase in grain harvests during intense El Niño events, such as 1997 and 2014-2016, due to productivity gains.
1997 was the last time Argentina observed an extreme version of El Niño, associated with intense rainfall, floods, and damage in urban and agricultural areas.
More than 20% is NOAA’s estimated probability of an extreme version of El Niño occurring, although experts warn that uncertainty remains.
60% is the approximate probability assigned by Enfen to a weak El Niño event in Peru during 2026.
6% of global land use change is attributed individually to countries such as Russia, India, China, and the United States (Kan et al., 2026).
More than 50% of GHG emissions come from the agricultural and livestock sector (CAF, 2025).
70% of freshwater is consumed by agricultural activities (CAF, 2025).
More than 20% of forests and arable lands are degraded by erosion and unsustainable management (CAF, 2025).
A 25% annual reduction in GHG emissions could be achieved globally with sustainable production models (CAF, 2025).
