Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
-2.2, -3.0 and -4.4 percentage points are the estimated reductions in Ecuador's economic growth in 2024 under moderate, strong and extreme El Niño scenarios, respectively; the recent effect on inflation is not statistically significant.
-1.3, -2.7 and -4.1 percentage points are the estimated reductions in Peru's economic growth in 2024 under moderate, strong and extreme El Niño scenarios; inflation increases by approximately 1, 2 and 3 percentage points, respectively.
52% of social assistance spending during the period 2014-2018 in Latin America and the Caribbean consisted of money transfers (CEPAL, FAO y IICA, 2023).
1.6% per year is the expected increase in GDP per capita in Latin America and the Caribbean, which will reach USD 10,500 by 2032 (OECD and FAO, 2023).
Mexico reached 32.1 million hectares for agricultural use (INEGI, 2022).
With a 60% probability, El Niño is expected to begin to show its effects in mid-2023, after three consecutive years of La Niña (AMIS, 2023).
Half of the world's population lives in households dependent on agrifood systems (FAO, 2023).
-0.88, -1.94 and -2.58 percentage points are the estimated cumulative reductions in Bolivia's real GDP per capita growth one, three and five years after El Niño, respectively.
Nearly -1% of GDP is the estimated cumulative loss by the sixth quarter following a strong El Niño episode for the analyzed group comprising Central America, Panama, the Dominican Republic, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru; the effect reverses before two years and small increases are observed in headline and food consumer prices.
