Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
European ammonia production is 19% below 2019 levels (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).
$85.7 billion was the value of the world fertilizer trade in 2024 (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).
44.8% of global fertilizer production is concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region (Earth Platform, 2026).
60% of global fertilizer production is concentrated in five countries (China, USA, Russia, India and Canada) (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).
The global demand for nutrients will reach 205 Mt in the fertilizer year 2025/26 (Earth Platform, 2026).
The Central Reserve Bank of Peru indicates that it reduced the growth projection for the agricultural sector from 3.0% to 2.5% in anticipation of a weak Coastal El Niño event. (BCRP, 2026).
The IMF warns that energy-importing Caribbean countries face balance of payments pressures due to rising oil and food prices; oil surpassed USD 100/barrel (+50% in one month), with additional risks for tourism- and remittance-dependent economies.
15–20% higher global fertilizer prices are projected during the first half of 2026 due to energy and trade tensions linked to the conflict in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.
Freight rates for oil tankers rose (BDTI +54% and BCTI +72%), while marine fuel prices increased by up to +99% for low-sulfur fuel and +100% for high-sulfur fuel, driving up transportation costs in global supply chains.
The price of Brent crude rose by 27%, reaching approximately $91.80 per barrel, while the price of European natural gas (TTF) rose by 74%, reaching nearly €55.80 per MWh.
