Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
30-40% is AccuWeather’s estimated probability that the event could evolve into a rare “Super El Niño”, with conditions potentially lasting through 2026 and even into 2027.
11 to 16 named storms are projected by AccuWeather for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season; with El Niño arriving early, the forecast is leaning closer to 11 than to 16.
More than 0.5 °C was the weekly average sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial Pacific, the main threshold used to identify El Niño conditions.
It increased by 6.6% compared to the level in April 2026. It averaged 95.1 points in May 2026. (FAO, 2026). The increase is due to a possible shortage of supplies in the coming months (a possible lower sugar production in Brazil and possible effects of El Niño on sugar production in India and Thailand in 2026/27).
It decreased by 0.2% compared to the revised level of April 2026. It averaged 130.8 points in May 2026. (FAO, 2026).
It increased by 2.6% compared to the level of April 2026. It averaged 114.3 points in May 2026. The increase reflected lower expected harvests in major exporters, and higher fuel and fertilizer costs. (FAO, 2026).
4% of global GDP is roughly accounted for by agriculture, above the 1.3% share of global early-stage venture-capital funding attracted by agtech companies in 2024.
1.3% of global early-stage venture-capital funding was attracted by agricultural technology companies in 2024.
US$9 billion went to new research into boosting farm yields, up from US$2.5 billion in 2016.
5,136,000 people were in a heightened phase of food insecurity in Ecuador between December 2025 and March 2026. (Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, 2026).
