Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
43% is the estimated probability of an extraordinary Coastal El Niño in the Niño 1+2 region during the summer from December 2026 to March 2027.
58% or higher is the probability that El Niño will reach very strong magnitude in the Niño 3.4 region between September 2026 and January 2027.
62% or higher is the probability that Coastal El Niño will reach extraordinary magnitude in the Niño 1+2 region between September 2026 and January 2027.
2 economic protection mechanisms, market diversification and agricultural insurance, are included in the plan to prevent price declines and facilitate the recovery of affected producers' investments.
4 productive sectors, agriculture, livestock, aquaculture and fisheries, have differentiated preventive measures under Ecuador's Contingency Plan for the possible occurrence of El Niño.
Approximately 64% of the region's capture fisheries production in 2024 came from the Southeast Pacific. (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2026).
63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.
70% is the potential decline in northern anchovy catch during an El Niño year, according to the estimate cited by Sonapesca.
In 2023, the average per capita availability of aquatic foods (blue foods) in Latin America was 10.1 kg. (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2026).
Latin America and the Caribbean consolidated their position as one of the world's leading net exporters of aquatic animal products, registering a trade surplus of $21 billion in 2024. (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2026).
