Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
0.9% was the growth of agricultural Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in Latin America and the Caribbean between 2011 and 2020, signaling a marked slowdown in productivity (IBD, 2025).
30% declines in sustainable productivity in Latin America and the Caribbean when environmental costs are included, lowering total factor productivity (TFP) to 0.14% per year. (IDB, 2025).
2.9% per year was the growth of agricultural output in LAC since 1961, driven by a 1.7% annual TFP (Total factor productivity) increase (IBD, 2025).
20.29 °C was the global average temperature recorded in 2024, with an anomaly of +1.18 °C (SENAMHI, 2024). This thermal increase is reflected in Peru through a higher frequency and intensity of droughts, floods, heat waves, cold spells, and landslides, affecting ecosystems, infrastructure, and productive sectors.
The combined strategy of using surveys and satellite images allows for measuring mechanisms (adoption, credit) and returns, offering consistent evidence.
Annual NDVI (average and maximum) is used to observe pre- and post-intervention trends for treated and control units. The longitudinal approach captures the "before and after" dynamics of the program.
NDVI-based remote sensing is a valuable, cost-effective proxy for yield to assess temporal dynamics of impacts.
As a national pilot, PRODAF emphasized rigorous evaluation of productive and economic impacts.
Up to 70% of agricultural productivity growth in Latin America and the Caribbean is reduced when environmental costs are taken into account. The increase in production has been driven mainly by the intensive use of inputs rather than by technological or managerial improvements, highlighting the need for policies that integrate sustainability and innovation. (IDB, 2025)
PRONAF credit increases the commercialization of family farms and is reinforced with technical assistance, while seed delivery shows no significant impact (Wesz Junior et al., 2024).
