Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
+4.7°C was the sea surface temperature anomaly in the Niño 1+2 region and +3.1°C in Niño 3.4 as of September 23, 2026.
146% was the increase in fire activity from July to August 2026, followed by another 66% rise in September; 395 municipalities are under high alert and 533 under alert for fire risk.
>95% is the probability that El Niño will reach very strong intensity during the October-November-December 2026 quarter.
13,303 people were affected by 131 rainfall-related events recorded in coastal Ecuador through September 30, 2026.
40 cm above normal was the approximate sea-level anomaly around the Galapagos Islands, compared with 35 cm off mainland Ecuador.
190 million gallons of water per day are produced approximately by the NWC to serve two million customers in Jamaica.
107 National Water Commission (NWC) systems are being affected, at varying stages, by drought conditions in Jamaica.
40.2% is reported for Hermitage Dam and 33.7% for Mona Dam amid drought conditions affecting water systems in Jamaica.
25.8 million children in Latin America and the Caribbean face the consequences of El Niño, including floods, droughts, risk of malnutrition, exposure to disease and limited access to basic services.
Since 1950, no El Niño episode may have been as intense as the one forecast for 2026, according to the experts cited by the source.
