Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
ENECMWF models project Pacific temperatures exceeding the 2015 record (+5.04°F), with a 61% probability of El Niño in May–July 2026 (Noll, 2026).
+1.5°C anomaly in the Niño-3.4 region is NOAA's CPC threshold for a "strong" El Niño event, with a 62% probability of occurrence in June–August 2026 (Noll, 2026).
The study maps 1,793 of 1,874 Peruvian districts (95.7%), with moderate-to-high risk zones covering over one-third of the national territory, indicating ENSO events amplify pesticide dispersal. (Honles,J. et al, 2026)
6% of global land use change is attributed individually to countries such as Russia, India, China, and the United States (Kan et al., 2026).
Between 20% and 35% of the world's terrestrial carbon is stored in grasslands, ecosystems currently under increasing agricultural pressure (Kan et al., 2026).
Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia and Indonesia face an average of 144 days a year with heat that is harmful to coffee, almost four months under heat stress (El País, 2026).
The conversion of grasslands and wetlands to agriculture is progressing almost 4 times faster than deforestation worldwide (Kan et al., 2026).
13% of the global conversion of natural ecosystems is concentrated in Brazil, the country with the highest recorded proportion (Kan et al., 2026).
33% of global biodiversity hotspots are located in grassland regions threatened by agricultural expansion (Kan et al., 2026).
1.5°C was the temperature increase limit reaffirmed at COP27 (CAF, 2023).
