Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
Brazil could face a phosphate deficit of between 1 and 3 million tons if supply restrictions persist (Canuto, 2026).
Urea prices in Brazil increased by 35% during the first weeks of March due to the conflict (Canuto, 2026).
36% of Brazil's urea imports came from Iran, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Oman and the United Arab Emirates in 2025, currently affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz (Canuto, 2026).
The study maps 1,793 of 1,874 Peruvian districts (95.7%), with moderate-to-high risk zones covering over one-third of the national territory, indicating ENSO events amplify pesticide dispersal. (Honles,J. et al, 2026)
Fertilizer applications in some crops could decrease by up to 25% due to rising prices (Mundoagro, 2026).
Fertilizer prices have increased by up to 30% in some markets due to the global crisis (Mundoagro, 2026).
Between 20% and 40% of the production cost in fruit farming corresponds to the use of fertilizers (Mundoagro, 2026).
Gulf countries account for 13% of global nitrogen exports and 9% of phosphate nutrients; the Hormuz closure disrupts this critical chain for producing fertilizers such as urea and ammonia (UNCTAD, 2026).
The approximate volume of the urea market in Argentina is 2,200,000 tons, with a significant part dependent on imports (La Nación, 2026).
Argentina currently has 30–60 days of fertilizer coverage, allowing the wheat campaign to begin without immediate problems (La Nación, 2026).
