Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
Fertilizer shipments from the Persian Gulf have remained non-existent or virtually non-existent, with a seven-day moving average virtually unchanged (zero in the last two weeks of June 2026) and no clear recovery at the end of the month, even after the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding regarding the conflict in the region. (World Trade Organization, 2026)
It increased by 2.6% compared to the level of April 2026. It averaged 114.3 points in May 2026. The increase reflected lower expected harvests in major exporters, and higher fuel and fertilizer costs. (FAO, 2026).
Natural gas prices, the main input for fertilizers, increased by up to 50%, driving up the cost of the sector (Agrolatam, 2026).
Prices for nitrogen fertilizers in the US market have risen by more than 30% in recent weeks (Agrolatam, 2026).
The price of urea in the United States increased by 34% before the planting season (Agrolatam, 2026).
More than 80% of the fertilizers used in Latin America are imported, which increases regional vulnerability to external shocks (Mundoagro, 2026).
Uruguay will exceed 350,000 hectares of brassicas in 2026 — compared to 348,000 in 2022 — driven by lower nitrogen fertilizer dependency versus wheat and canola prices consolidated above USD 500/mt. (El Observador, 2026).
Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).
15% of Brazil's fertilizer imports come from the war-affected region (Canuto, 2026).
The rate reached 14.75% after a 25 basis point cut in response to inflationary pressures in Brazil (Canuto, 2026).
