Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.
15% of Brazil's fertilizer imports come from the war-affected region (Canuto, 2026).
36% of Brazil's urea imports came from Iran, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Oman and the United Arab Emirates in 2025, currently affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz (Canuto, 2026).
Urea prices in Brazil increased by 35% during the first weeks of March due to the conflict (Canuto, 2026).
78% of phosphate consumption in Brazil depends on imports, which exposes the country to external restrictions (Canuto, 2026).
Brazil could face a phosphate deficit of between 1 and 3 million tons if supply restrictions persist (Canuto, 2026).
20% of the total demand for phosphates in Brazil could be affected by the projected deficit (Canuto, 2026).
0.6% of Brazil's GDP corresponds to exports to Middle Eastern countries impacted by the conflict (Canuto, 2026).
25% of Brazil's corn exports are destined for the Middle East, increasing sectoral vulnerability (Canuto, 2026).
The rate reached 14.75% after a 25 basis point cut in response to inflationary pressures in Brazil (Canuto, 2026).
