Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
41.88 billion litres is Brazil's estimated total ethanol production for 2026/27, an 11.7% increase from the previous crop season. Sugarcane ethanol would reach 29.98 billion litres, up 9.7%, while corn ethanol would reach 11.91 billion litres, up 17%. The mandatory blend of anhydrous ethanol in gasoline increased from 30% to 32% in late July.
42.89 million tonnes is Brazil's estimated sugar production for the 2026/27 crop season, a 2.9% reduction from 2025/26. Conab projects lower sugar output despite the expected growth in the national sugarcane harvest.
705.2 million tonnes is Brazil's estimated sugarcane production for the 2026/27 crop season, a 4.7% increase from 2025/26. The projection combines a 1.1% expansion in harvested area, to 9.1 million hectares, and a 3.6% improvement in average national yield, to 77,905 kilograms per hectare.
180.5 million tonnes is Brazil's estimated soybean production for the 2025/26 summer crop; Mato Grosso would account for 51.6 million tonnes.
143 million tonnes is Brazil's forecast total corn production for the 2025/26 season: 29.5 million in the first crop, about 111 million in the second and 2.4 million in the third.
360.8 million tonnes is Brazil's estimated grain production for the 2025/26 crop season, up 2.4% and 8.5 million tonnes from the previous cycle.
2 components of inflation, food and energy, could increase in response to an intense El Niño event in Latin America during 2026.
4 Latin American countries, Colombia, Peru, Brazil and Argentina, have the greatest exposure to an intense El Niño event in 2026, according to a Bank of America report.
70% of new United States investment in Latin America since 2003 was concentrated in Brazil, Mexico and Guyana; in 2025 Mexico received US$7.98 billion and Brazil US$6.49 billion.
3 strategic crops, maize, sugar and wheat, face production risks associated with El Niño: lower maize and sugar production in Brazil and impacts on part of Argentina's wheat harvest.
