Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
32.1% of surveyed households show clear signs of deterioration in children's diets; the proportion reaches 56.2% in Honduras.
85.2% of surveyed farming families were affected by late or irregular rainfall in the Dry Corridor of northern Central America.
60.9% of farming families in the Dry Corridor of Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador have insufficient food reserves.
FEWS NET projects crop losses and lower yields among subsistence farmers in Guatemala's Dry Corridor, Alta Verapaz and Western Highlands.
El Niño is causing below-average and erratic rainfall in Central America's Dry Corridor, reducing staple grain production among smallholders.
Pacific, Bocacosta, Northern Transversal Strip, Petén and Caribbean regions could receive 150 to 700 mm of rain in October.
INSIVUMEH forecasts a 100% probability of El Niño conditions from September-November 2026 through February-April 2027.
Rainfall deficits of 60 to 200 mm are forecast across parts of Guatemala during October 2026.
The 2026 Primera maize and bean season ended under poor conditions in Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua due to prolonged dry spells and high temperatures. GEOGLAM reports that many subsistence farmers experienced losses above 75%, while some crops died at early stages because of erratic rainfall.
October-December 2026 forecasts indicate more than a 70% probability of below-normal rainfall in Honduras, Nicaragua, eastern Guatemala, eastern El Salvador and other parts of southern Central America. The outlook coincides with establishment and development of Segunda/Postrera crops and very strong El Niño conditions.
