Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
Between September 2025 and September 2026, the share located in areas experiencing moderate or more intense drought (D1+) increased by 83 percentage points for sugarcane, 65 for sunflowers, 60 for sorghum, 39 for spring wheat and 34 for cattle.
As of September 22, 2026, 22% of U.S. corn and 26% of soybeans were located in areas experiencing moderate or more intense drought (D1+). These shares were 4 and 11 percentage points lower, respectively, than a year earlier.
43% was the average harvest progress in Manitoba as of September 21, 2026. Spring wheat stood at 71% and canola at 43%, with sharp regional differences: 64% in the Central region versus 27% in the Southwest and 24% in the Northwest.
More than 130% of normal precipitation (30-year average) has accumulated since May 1 across large areas of the Northwest, Southwest and Interlake regions of Manitoba. In the week of September 14-20, 2026, the highest accumulation was 77.8 mm at Miniota.
Many dugouts in Manitoba are approximately 100% full, recharged by frequent rainfall that maintains good water quality. Pasture regrowth has been exceptional, allowing producers to extend the grazing season into the fall.
El Salvador's fourth meteorological drought period of 2026 extended from September 5 to September 20 and ended after rainfall recorded on September 20 and 21. The episode reached moderate drought conditions at monitoring stations in La Unión department.
El Salvador recorded four meteorological drought periods between June and September 2026. The first lasted 20 days, the second reached up to 22 consecutive dry days and severe drought conditions, the third extended for 28 days and also reached severe conditions, while the fourth reached moderate drought conditions.
For the period September 21 to October 18, 2026, Costa Rica's National Meteorological Institute (IMN) forecasts below-normal rainfall across the Pacific slope, Central Valley, and Northwestern Zone, driven by trade winds unusually stronger than typical for this time of year - an atypical pattern consistent with the rainfall deficit El Nino has been driving across Central America during 2026. The C...
For the week of October 12-18, 2026, Costa Rica's National Meteorological Institute (IMN) forecasts a generalization of dry conditions nationwide: the Pacific, Caribbean, Northern Zone, Central Valley, and Northwestern Zone would all see below-normal rainfall, with the forecast's uncertainty level rated as high.
366.6 million tonnes could be reached by Brazil's grain harvest in 2026/27, the highest volume in Conab's historical series if the projection is confirmed.
