Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
2.9% per year was the growth of agricultural output in LAC since 1961, driven by a 1.7% annual TFP (Total factor productivity) increase (IBD, 2025).
Treated farmers reported an average 18 % increase in net agricultural income compared to the control group, based on IPW estimates.
56 % of beneficiaries reported adopting at least one new agricultural practice or technology after receiving the smart subsidy and technical assistance.
0.006 was the average DID effect on mean NDVI for citrus, indicating productivity improvement.
US$41 million was the total cost of PRODAF between 2013 and 2019, partially financed by the IDB.
795, 565, 333 and 317 plans were executed in cotton, livestock, dairy and citrus respectively, demonstrating PRODAF's multi-channel focus.
Smart subsidies should be framed within longer-term strategies for systematic and sustainable production improvements, beyond one-off inputs.
The combined strategy of using surveys and satellite images allows for measuring mechanisms (adoption, credit) and returns, offering consistent evidence.
The monthly NDVI signal shows greater variation in annual crops such as cotton and greater stability in perennial crops such as citrus.
Annual NDVI (average and maximum) is used to observe pre- and post-intervention trends for treated and control units. The longitudinal approach captures the "before and after" dynamics of the program.
