Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
Brazil could face a phosphate deficit of between 1 and 3 million tons if supply restrictions persist (Canuto, 2026).
20% of the total demand for phosphates in Brazil could be affected by the projected deficit (Canuto, 2026).
15% of Brazil's fertilizer imports come from the war-affected region (Canuto, 2026).
Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).
36% of Brazil's urea imports came from Iran, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Oman and the United Arab Emirates in 2025, currently affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz (Canuto, 2026).
0.6% of Brazil's GDP corresponds to exports to Middle Eastern countries impacted by the conflict (Canuto, 2026).
25% of Brazil's corn exports are destined for the Middle East, increasing sectoral vulnerability (Canuto, 2026).
Fertilizer applications in some crops could decrease by up to 25% due to rising prices (Mundoagro, 2026).
85% of the fertilizers used in Brazil are imported, which explains the high exposure to international shocks (Agrolatam, 2026).
Fertilizer prices have increased by up to 30% in some markets due to the global crisis (Mundoagro, 2026).
