Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
One third of global urea exports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, a key corridor for global fertilizer trade.
45% of sulfur, an essential raw material for phosphate fertilizers, passes through the Strait of Hormuz.
EUR 5.6 billion is the approximate size of Spain’s agricultural inputs market at farm-gate prices, especially exposed to volatility from the closure of Hormuz.
20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.
63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.
70% is the potential decline in northern anchovy catch during an El Niño year, according to the estimate cited by Sonapesca.
25% of cherry production was lost during the 2023-24 El Niño, especially in early varieties, according to the source.
30% was the decline in global fertilizer trade by volume during the first four months of 2026 due to the war in the Middle East, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and export restrictions.
200 millimeters of rain in a single day may occur during localized extreme events associated with El Niño in Paraguay, creating problems for production.
Region 3-4 of the Pacific Ocean is where Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock states El Niño has already settled, with direct impact expected on Paraguay.
