Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies
87.5 million people were affected in contexts where extreme weather events predominated as the main driver of acute food insecurity.
147.4 million people were affected in contexts where conflict and insecurity were the main driver of acute food insecurity.
266 million people in 47 countries and territories faced high levels of acute food insecurity in 2025, equivalent to 22.9% of the analyzed population.
One third of global urea exports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, a key corridor for global fertilizer trade.
45% of sulfur, an essential raw material for phosphate fertilizers, passes through the Strait of Hormuz.
63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.
20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.
Region 3-4 of the Pacific Ocean is where Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock states El Niño has already settled, with direct impact expected on Paraguay.
There is a 61% probability that El Niño will develop between May and July 2026 (IDB, 2026).
More than 100,000 people in 250 rural communities benefited from anticipatory actions implemented in nine countries during the 2023-2024 El Niño event, with increases of up to 40% in maize and bean production in some Central American countries.
